Trade rumors have swirled around Breece Hall recently, spurred on by the Jets new coaching staff and GM settling in. After suffering a devastating ACL injury in his rookie season, Breece managed to bounce back with a terrific 2023 and a slower 2024, where he still showcased good versatility.
Stats-wise, 2023 was Hall’s best year, as it was then that he showed potential for being a long-term cornerstone of the Jets’ offense. Plus, a prop bet favorite. For those not in the gambling loop, prop is short for proposition wager, a bet type where one stakes money on a specific aspect of an individual player’s performance.
Many think Hall is under pressure to explode this season, and a quick guide that aims to inform on how to make viable Hall props follows.
Breece Hall’s 2024 Season Recap
As noted above, Hall had an okay season in 2024 that did not match many expectations for him, given what he had shown in 2023. Many called 2024 disappointing for the Omaha native, as he displayed inconsistency.
In the 2024 season, Hall rushed for 876 yards and five touchdowns on 209 carries in sixteen games. He also contributed 483 receiving yards and three touchdowns on fifty-seven receptions.
While for many, this would have been a solid showing, it fell short of the lofty expectations most fans had set for him after his near-one-thousand-yard 2023 rushing campaign. That said, he did show flashes of brilliance, case in point, the October 2024 game against the Buffalo Bills, where he ended the contest with one hundred and thirteen rushing yards on eighteen carries. Still, he had four games under forty rushing yards, often due to poor game scripts. Moreover, as the season was winding down, he battled knee problems.
Popular Breece Hall Prop Categories
Without question, the main Breece Hall prop featured on most online sportsbooks, like those highlighted by prime review hub GamblingNerd.com, is rushing yards. Bookies customarily set his single-game rushing prop between fifty and seventy yards. According to StatMuse, Hall averaged fifty-eight yards in 2023. Hence, if he could produce a repeat season, he should clear this wager easily, making it a safe bet.
The next one up is receiving yards. His role as a pass-catcher is a goldmine for bettors. In 2024, he averaged thirty receiving yards per game; in 2023, this figure stood at almost thirty-five. Thus, it is important to consider when bookmakers set their receiving yard prop at twenty-five to thirty-five.
His single-game touchdown prop is expected to be listed at +100 to +150 odds for an anytime touchdown scorer. That may not be the wisest wager, as he averaged 0.5 touchdowns per game in 2023 and about the same in 2024.
On the flip side, the longest rush/reception prop is one not to neglect. In 2024, Hall averaged a longest rush of forty-two yards per NFL.com, and single-game props for this category for him typically get set at fifteen to twenty. Reception props are worth looking into. In 2024, Breece averaged 8.5 per game, and in 2023, his average stood at 7.8. So, anything listed above seven from this category is worth considering.
Factors That Impact Hall’s Prop Outcomes
Multiple variables will influence Hall’s ability to cover prop bet overs. One is offensive schemes drawn up by Tanner Engstrand, likely influenced by his time spent with the Detroit Lions, who leaned heavily on zone runs. Hall’s recent performance shows he likes gap runs better. Consequently, if zone runs get drawn up, this may substantially affect his rushing efficiency. That is, unless the Jets adapt their play-calling, or Hall adapts to zones.
The Jets’ offensive line, bolstered by Membou and Fashanu, has promise. Yet, as 2024 showed, injuries are something no one can predict. Thus, for the team to maintain offensive consistency, a clean bill of health is a must. That especially holds for veterans like John Simpson. Injuries to key linemen could also force the Jets into pass-heavy scripts, which can also influence Hall’s ability to hit his averages or go over them.
The quarterback situation -who will be the starter- will dictate defensive alignments, and of course, we have proper matchup analysis. In 2024, Hall excelled against weaker run defenses like Indianapolis but struggled against strong fronts like Denver.
Betting Strategies for Breece Hall Props
To maximize value, line shopping is a must. That is, scanning multiple bookie sites looking for the best available odds. It is vital to note that some platforms are slow to adjust their odds to the latest happenings, while others give out bad margins.
Tracking injury and weather reports is too crucial, as these impact games in various ways. NFL.com and ESPN.com usually do a good job of quickly informing us who is hurt. Cold or rainy conditions, common in late-season games, favor run-heavy scripts, boosting rushing props. However, they limit receiving yards due to slippery conditions. Avoiding recency bias is pivotal as well. One stunning performance is enough to skew perception for many.
