This season has devolved into a nightmare for the Jets. Sitting at a dismal 3-12, Gang Green enters Week 17 with nothing to play for but draft positioning. Head Coach Aaron Glenn has watched his squad lose three consecutive games by 20-plus points each, a stretch that highlights just how broken this roster has become.
Conversely, the New England Patriots arrive at MetLife Stadium with a 12-3 record and a playoff berth already secured. They are currently the second seed in the AFC and need a win to keep pressure on for the division title. The disparity between these two franchises is stark. In fact, NFL observers rarely see a divisional matchup with such a lopsided talent gap this late in the year.
For fans looking at the numbers, the betting markets paint a grim picture. Platforms like CanadaSportsBetting.ca show New England as massive road favorites, a testament to the Jets’ recent collapse. The Patriots have covered the spread in six of seven road games, while New York has failed to be competitive for over a month.
The Quarterback Mismatch
The biggest story of this game is the chasm at the quarterback position. New England rookie Drake Maye is playing at an MVP level. He has guided his team to an 11-1 record in their last 12 contests. Maye has shown poise and accuracy that the Jets can only envy.
On the home sideline, the situation is dire. With Justin Fields on injured reserve and Tyrod Taylor sidelined, the Jets are forced to start rookie Brady Cook. The Missouri product has looked completely overwhelmed in his three appearances.
Cook currently holds a horrific QBR of 9.7. He has thrown six interceptions against just one touchdown pass. Asking him to move the ball against a Patriots defense that ranks in the top ten for yards per pass attempt allowed seems like an impossible task.
A Defense in Disarray
The Jets defense has quit. There is no other way to describe it. After the front office traded away stars like Sauce Gardner and Quinnen Williams back in November, the unit fell apart. They have surrendered massive point totals in recent weeks, including blowout losses by 24, 28, and 23 points.
New England brings a balanced attack that should feast on this depleted group. The Patriots rank sixth in the league in rushing the football. Expect them to keep the ball on the ground to shorten the game.
This strategy limits the exposure of their own players while grinding the Jets defense into the turf. Consequently, the NFL betting lines have the Patriots as 13.5-point favorites. It is a large number, yet it feels entirely justified given the state of the home team.
Final Prediction for Week 17
It is difficult to find a path to victory for New York. The offense cannot score, having posted 14 points or fewer in six of their last ten games. The defense cannot stop anyone.
New England has every motivation to crush their rival and secure a high playoff seed. The Jets are simply waiting for the offseason.
- Spread Patriots -13.5
- Total Under 42.5
- Prediction Patriots win 34-6
Expect the Patriots to dominate from the opening whistle. They will likely cover the large spread with ease. The Jets will take one step closer to the second overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, which is the only victory the franchise can hope for at this point.
