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Sam Darnold Stats & Projection; 4,000 Yard Season?

We live in the fantasy football era. We all know that stats can be misleading and they certainly don’t tell the entire story. That being said the Jets are 7 games into Sam Darnold’s rookie year so we have seen a good glimpse of his potential. There is a lot to be happy about when you think about the long term possibilities. For now we wanted to look at where Sam Darnold sits today stat wise:

He is a rookie and with that comes a fair share of mistakes. 10 TDs and 10 INTs, not the worst we have seen from a Jets QB and certainly not the best. So let’s take a look at how this all projects out over a full season. With 7 games played, the Jets are just under the mid way point of the season. So here is how his #’s project if he stays the same the rest of the way.

Not terrible for a rookie season. If nothing changes the number of interceptions would be the biggest long term concern. It seems like a good bet that he would throw less interceptions in the final 8 games as opposed to the first 8 games. Peyton Manning threw 28 INTs his rookie year and then only threw more than 20 one other time in his career.

Some things I would like to see from Sam the rest of the way in 2018:

1. He leads the Jets to a 9 win season.

2. He throws for over 4,000 yards. He would have to average 272 yards per game over the last 9 games. That is 51 yards per game more than his current average. Joe Namath is the only Jets QB to throw for over 4,000 yards in a single season.

3. He cuts down on his interceptions. Hopefully he can end up no worse than somewhere around 25 TDs \ 20 INTs.

Is that too much too ask for?

I know that stats don’t tell the whole story. Darnold is passing the eye test, he is good in the pocket and is reading the field better than any rookie QB the Jets have seen in a very long time.

Stop by our forms and let us know what you think about Sam Darnold’s stats.

This Article Was Written By Phil Sullivan

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I started JetNation in 2005 and have been a New York Jets season ticket holder since graduating from high school. My dream is to see the New York Jets win the Super Bowl. Until then, I will be right here on JetNation writing, dreaming and talking NY Jets football.