NY Jets vs KC Chiefs: Previewing the Matchup From a Bettors Perspective

By Steve Johnson Posted On September 29, 2023

Welcome to our NY Jets vs KC Chiefs Betting Preview. As the New York Jets prepare to host the Kansas City Chiefs, all eyes are on the quarterbacks, Patrick Mahomes and Zach Wilson. With Wilson’s performance being historically poor this season, can he turn things around against the Chiefs’ formidable defense? Here are key insights to make the most informed bets and Rob Davies writes about no ID betting.

Kansas City Chiefs (-9.5) at New York Jets

The New York Jets will host a primetime matchup against the Super Bowl Champion Kansas City Chiefs Sunday. It’s an opportunity for the world to see how dysfunctional the Jets are with Aaron Rodgers injured. The New York Jets have publicly expressed their support for embattled backup quarterback, Zach Wilson. Wilson has been historically bad thus far in 2023 and ranks last in the league in passer rating (57.0). The Jets added veteran quarterback, Trevor Semian this week, but it is unlikely that Semian will see action against Kansas City. The poor quarterback play for New York will stand in stark contrast to Chief’s all-world quarterback Pat Mahomes. Mahomes ranks 7^th in the league with a 99.5 rating.

The Chiefs dropped their opener at home against the Detroit Lions. Kansas City played that game without tight end Jason Kelce and defensive tackle, Chris Jones. Outside of Mahomes, Kelce and Jones are arguably the most important players on the Kansas City roster. Since Kelce and Jones have returned, the Chiefs have outscored their opponents 58-19. The Kansas City defense has surpassed expectations thus far. The Chiefs have allowed only 39 points over their first three contests. That is good enough to rank 4^th in the league in points against.

Kansas City’s defense has outperformed the highly rated Jet defense thus far. The Chiefs are 6^th overall in yards allowed, while New York stands at 20^th after ranking in the top five in 2022. The decline in effectiveness can be partially attributed to how poorly the Jet’s offense has performed. The Jets are dead last in total yards gained. The Jets have only been able to notch 10 points in each of their last two games. The Jets have held the ball for under 46 minutes in their last two games combined while averaging a league-worst 13 first downs per game. The poor offensive play has left the defense on the field for the vast majority of each game, allowing opponents to wear the Jets down.

The Bottom Line

This is a mismatch. I would love to come up with some way to rationalize taking the candy and riding with the Jets, but they are not going to be competitive with Zach Wilson under center. Kansas City has too much offense for the Jets to keep things close. The Chiefs defense will stack the line of scrimmage forcing the Jets to throw the ball. Zach Wilson has shown nothing that would make us believe he can win a game for the Jets through the air. The Jets defense may make the game uncomfortable for a while, but ultimately the Chiefs will force Wilson into turnovers, the Jet’s defense will wear down, and Kansas City will pull away. Get in on this before the line reaches double digits, which it will undoubtedly do before kickoff.