Futures Bets to Consider (or Avoid) for the NY Jets
With each loss, the New York Jets season continues to slip away. With it becoming increasingly more difficult to watch the games with an optimistic point of view, the question becomes of what is there to look forward to or root for when watching these games. The likelihood of a top-three pick is gone, and playoff odds are decreasing by the day, so one of the only things left to do with this team is try to win some money on them.
Future bets can be challenging to cash or find value in at this point in the season, so we’ll break down some of the bets still available on the market and whether or not they are worth a flyer moving forward.
Most Regular Season Rushing Yards
We’ll start our journey through futures with the one that has a Jets player closest to the top of the odds board. Right now, Breece Hall has the seventh-best odds on DraftKings (+1400) and the eighth-best odds on FanDuel (+1600) to finish the NFL regular season with the most rushing yards.
The second-year running back might have some of the better odds of finishing near the top, but for right now, he is currently 16th in the league in rushing yards with 521. One can only assume his odds are still because many believe the Jets will lean on him more down the stretch as they fall further out of playoff contention.
Even if that is the thought process, that thinking has not come to fruition with the Jets’ play calling. Hall ranks 25th in rushing attempts, and when he has gotten his carries, he has not done much with them. Averaging 4.9 yards per carry is undoubtedly solid, but that number is skewed quite a bit due to two outlier games, as he has not broken a run longer than ten yards in his past four games.
There are quite a few obstacles standing in Hall’s way, which is why him being inside the top ten for this future is not only surprising but certainly not worth a bet at his current price. For starters, the Jets’ offense is 28th in rush play percentage, and since opposing defenses can focus more energy on limiting Hall due to a lack of passing game, he ranks 22nd in yards before contact.
Even though all six of the Jets’ next opponents rank 17th or worse in DVOA, it’s hard to imagine Hall can gain ground on Christian McCaffrey since he sits near the top of the league in yards before and after contact.
Most Regular Season Receiving Yards
This is one of those future markets where if this were preseason and Aaron Rodgers was healthy, I would say Garrett Wilson is a great player to target. Now, Wilson has (+5000) odds on DraftKings and (+7000) odds on FanDuel for this category, and while he is still relatively high up on the board, his current prices are a good indicator of how the Jets season has played out.
Wilson is just inside the top 20 for receiving yards this season with 642, and he is 15th in the league in receptions with 55. One of the biggest reasons Wilson has the same odds as Travis Kelce and Mike Evans is the sheer volume he’s seen up to this point. The Ohio State product ranks 9th in targets with 95, and there is certainly a chance he finishes inside the top five if the Jets keep falling behind in games, forcing them to air out more.
Volume-wise, the value is there, but even with that, this is not a good bet to make on any betting app in New York. Wilson does not have a viable quarterback situation for bettors to trust. Zach Wilson ranks in the bottom five for completion percentage and yards per pass, so even with a favorable schedule of defenses moving forward, the wideout won’t be able to catch a guy like Tyreek Hill.
Most Regular Season Interceptions Thrown
Every quarterback in the AFC East is within the top ten odds to lead the league in interceptions, with Josh Allen sitting at the top at (+300) on DraftKings. Zach Wilson has the 11th highest odds at (+1800), with Mac Jones and Tua Tagovailoa ahead of him. As it stands, Wilson has six interceptions on the year, which is almost impressive considering he is 4th among quarterbacks in aggressiveness percentage at 18.3%.
A few of the quarterbacks ahead of Wilson on the interception leaderboard have already been benched, so with Wilson’s low completion percentage, high volume, and high aggressiveness, he may have some value. However, who wants to bet on their team’s quarterback to turn the ball over? So, at the end of the day, if you’re going to spend you’re time watching the Jets, don’t spend your money on them, too.